Saturday, February 6, 2010

Crazy Friday

The market was crazy on Friday, going down most of the day, only to expectedly climb into positive territory late in the day. My overall positions went from way up to way down and ended up near breakeven overall. Below is the weekly p/l % graphs.

Next week I plan to open a short term iron condor and I am still looking for at least one more PCCRC. Earnings season is starting to wind down so I may have to loosen my criteria a little bit to find one.

OEX 2 Day Iron Condor
The OEX IC hit my adjustment point at 484.2  in the early afternoon and I shut down the put side. The calls expired OTM and the position ended up with a loss of 21%.  The loss was higher than you would normally have on this position because of the mistake in strike price I made in opening the spread. I do not plan to do both a weekly and 2 day IC in the future, especially at the same time. Although the weekly outdid the 2 day version this week, I like the idea of only being in the market part of the time with iron condors, as these are too short of duration to be adjustable. Right now I am thinking of going to a compromise between the 2 timeframes, like a 2 and 1/2 day IC at a 1:10 risk/reward ratio. The goal would be to win 80-90% of those and keep the losers loss at 20% average. At 80% the return would be +40% and at 90% the return would be +70%.  

OEX Weekly IC
The OEX weekly IC came within about 2 points of the closing adjustment but managed to hang on for the full 10% profit.

SPX Monthly IC
The SPX IC was all over the place Friday and ended up having a 4% gain on the day. It is still down 5% overall, but within 10 points of the center of the risk graph. If IV drops some next week I expect this position to quickly move into profitable territory, and plan to close if I reach 12-15% profit.


AAPL PCCRC
The AAPL PCCRC bounced with the market at the end of the day and was up 2% on the day and down 1% overall with one week to go before rolling the short options.

CREE PCCRC
The CREE PCCRC continued to perform well up 3% for the day and 11% overall.

FDO PCCRC
FDO was up 1% on the day and now has a 3% overall profit.

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